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15 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.4%
Galatasaray
20.2%
Draw
10.4%
Buyuksehyr

Expected Goals (xG)

2.52

Galatasaray

vs
0.96

Buyuksehyr

Markets

BTTS58.5%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
5.9%
4-0
5.2%
0-0
5.0%
4-1
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
3-2
3.8%
1-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).