Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Paderborn
30.3%
Draw
25.2%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Paderborn
vs
0.91
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
13.3%
0-0
12.0%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).