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08 Apr 2023 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.7%
Kasimpasa
24.5%
Draw
57.8%
Trabzonspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Kasimpasa

vs
2.19

Trabzonspor

Markets

BTTS64.1%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.1%
0-3
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
2-3
4.2%
1-4
3.9%
0-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).