Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.7%
Paderborn
19.6%
Draw
9.7%
Ingolstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Paderborn
vs
0.70
Ingolstadt
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.3%
1-0
11.3%
3-0
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).