Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Salernitana
34.1%
Draw
20.9%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Salernitana
vs
0.68
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS34.7%
Over 0.582.4%
Over 1.555.3%
Over 2.527.2%
Over 3.511.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.6%
1-0
17.2%
1-1
13.8%
2-0
10.4%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
4-0
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).