Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.5%
Toulouse
13.8%
Draw
7.8%
Chateauroux
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
Toulouse
vs
0.59
Chateauroux
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.4%
1-0
12.4%
3-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
4-0
7.0%
3-1
6.9%
1-1
6.5%
0-0
4.3%
4-1
4.2%
0-1
3.5%
5-0
3.4%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).