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23 Oct 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.9%
Wealdstone
31.9%
Draw
24.1%
Braintree Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Wealdstone

vs
0.83

Braintree Town

Markets

BTTS40.6%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.7%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
14.1%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).