Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.6%
Mansfield
22.3%
Draw
16.1%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Mansfield
vs
0.68
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).