Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Mallorca
27.9%
Draw
32.6%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Mallorca
vs
1.14
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).