Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Eldense
29.5%
Draw
24.2%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Eldense
vs
0.79
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).