Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.2%
Rochdale
26.6%
Draw
45.3%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Rochdale
vs
1.33
Colchester
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
9.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).