Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.9%
Cartagena
28.1%
Draw
54.0%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Cartagena
vs
1.35
Alaves
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.559.0%
Over 2.532.1%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.5%
0-0
13.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-1
11.7%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.0%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-0
2.8%
2-2
2.6%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).