Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.7%
Genoa
25.4%
Draw
51.9%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Genoa
vs
1.53
Milan
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).