Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.0%
Santander
19.6%
Draw
20.3%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Santander
vs
1.23
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS63.2%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.545.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-1
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
4-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).