Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.1%
North Leigh
17.4%
Draw
69.5%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
North Leigh
vs
2.30
Bury
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.0%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.4%
1-1
8.2%
1-3
7.4%
0-4
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
1-4
4.3%
1-0
3.9%
0-0
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).