Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.3%
Wrexham
15.5%
Draw
7.2%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
Wrexham
vs
0.69
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.7%
3-0
10.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
7.4%
4-0
7.0%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
4.4%
5-0
3.6%
2-2
3.0%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).