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02 Feb 2025 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.0%
Angers
36.1%
Draw
25.9%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Angers

vs
0.64

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS26.5%
Over 0.577.6%
Over 1.543.3%
Over 2.518.6%
Over 3.56.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
22.4%
1-0
19.5%
0-1
14.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
5.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
3-0
2.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
0-3
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).