Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Heidenheim
26.0%
Draw
29.3%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Heidenheim
vs
1.33
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).