Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.4%
Sociedad
19.1%
Draw
62.5%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Sociedad
vs
2.38
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS64.6%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.548.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
1-1
8.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.5%
0-1
6.2%
0-3
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
2-3
4.6%
1-4
4.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).