Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Elche
25.6%
Draw
50.9%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Elche
vs
1.62
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.4%
0-0
7.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).