Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Swindon
26.1%
Draw
41.5%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Swindon
vs
1.32
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
8.1%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).