Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
Pordenone
32.8%
Draw
40.8%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Pordenone
vs
1.15
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
14.5%
0-1
13.8%
1-0
10.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
5.0%
0-3
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).