Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.7%
Norwich
29.4%
Draw
58.9%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52
Norwich
vs
1.46
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS32.5%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.7%
0-0
15.3%
0-2
14.7%
1-1
12.0%
1-2
7.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-1
2.7%
0-4
2.6%
2-2
2.0%
2-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).