⚽ FootballData
1 – 3
AHT: 11CSV

17 Feb 2026 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
42.5%
Leyton Orient
21.9%
Draw
35.6%
Plymouth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.63

Leyton Orient

vs
1.48

Plymouth

Markets

BTTS61.2%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
0-0
3.6%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).