Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
Preston
29.8%
Draw
35.8%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Preston
vs
1.20
Watford
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).