Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Cosenza
31.8%
Draw
38.1%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Cosenza
vs
1.17
Benevento
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).