Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Harrogate
27.5%
Draw
40.2%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Harrogate
vs
1.21
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).