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01 May 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.9%
Reggiana
29.4%
Draw
24.7%
Pordenone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Reggiana

vs
0.97

Pordenone

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).