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AHT: 00CSV

11 Jul 2020 · 20:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.7%
Cadiz
24.1%
Draw
22.2%
Fuenlabrada

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Cadiz

vs
0.98

Fuenlabrada

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.0%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).