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15 Feb 2020 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.9%
Hannover
23.5%
Draw
41.7%
Hamburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Hannover

vs
1.90

Hamburg

Markets

BTTS70.8%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.570.2%
Over 3.549.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
1-0
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).