Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.8%
Ad. Demirspor
15.3%
Draw
75.9%
İstanbul Başakşehir
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Ad. Demirspor
vs
3.16
İstanbul Başakşehir
Markets
BTTS65.9%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.593.9%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.562.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
0-3
7.2%
0-2
6.9%
1-4
6.4%
1-1
6.1%
0-4
5.7%
2-3
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
1-5
4.1%
2-4
3.6%
0-5
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).