Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.1%
Harrogate
22.3%
Draw
60.5%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Harrogate
vs
1.75
Swindon
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
0-2
12.0%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
7.4%
0-3
7.0%
1-0
6.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
0-4
3.1%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).