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26 Aug 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.1%
Orleans
24.3%
Draw
53.7%
Auxerre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Orleans

vs
1.49

Auxerre

Markets

BTTS43.0%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.5%
1-1
11.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
0-4
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).