Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Dresden
20.0%
Draw
58.9%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Dresden
vs
2.48
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS71.2%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.575.4%
Over 3.555.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.7%
1-1
7.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
5.9%
2-3
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.5%
0-1
4.1%
2-4
3.3%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).