Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.3%
Reggina
32.2%
Draw
32.5%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Reggina
vs
1.05
Modena
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
11.5%
0-1
10.9%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).