Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.0%
Southend
25.5%
Draw
25.5%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Southend
vs
1.20
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).