Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.4%
Venezia
24.0%
Draw
18.6%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Venezia
vs
1.02
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).