Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Bari
29.9%
Draw
27.6%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Bari
vs
1.04
Avellino
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).