Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.7%
Almeria
19.2%
Draw
16.2%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Almeria
vs
1.10
Granada
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.545.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
3-0
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
4-1
4.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-0
4.0%
0-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).