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02 Mar 2026 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.4%
Pisa
24.8%
Draw
53.9%
Bologna

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Pisa

vs
1.59

Bologna

Markets

BTTS46.8%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.5%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).