Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
Sampdoria
34.6%
Draw
34.1%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Sampdoria
vs
0.97
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.583.5%
Over 1.557.7%
Over 2.529.3%
Over 3.512.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.5%
1-1
14.8%
0-1
13.3%
1-0
12.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).