Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Almeria
24.8%
Draw
31.6%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Almeria
vs
1.37
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.7%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).