Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Tranmere
24.5%
Draw
46.8%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Tranmere
vs
1.53
Colchester
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).