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DHT: 11CSV

10 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.3%
Mouscron
23.6%
Draw
58.1%
St Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Mouscron

vs
1.86

St Truiden

Markets

BTTS52.5%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
0-1
10.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-0
6.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
0-4
3.0%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).