Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.3%
Dunfermline
28.8%
Draw
11.8%
Stenhousemuir
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Dunfermline
vs
0.47
Stenhousemuir
Markets
BTTS29.0%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.556.3%
Over 2.528.7%
Over 3.511.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.9%
0-0
16.2%
2-0
15.0%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-0
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
0-2
1.7%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).