Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Ayr
25.6%
Draw
51.6%
Falkirk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Ayr
vs
1.90
Falkirk
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.9%
0-1
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-3
5.0%
2-3
3.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).