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DHT: 10

27 Oct 2024 · 11:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.5%
Stal Mielec
25.7%
Draw
48.8%
Zagłębie Lubin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Stal Mielec

vs
1.72

Zagłębie Lubin

Markets

BTTS58.2%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.4%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.6%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.5%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).