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25 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.9%
Widzew Lodz
27.5%
Draw
29.5%
Motor Lublin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Widzew Lodz

vs
1.21

Motor Lublin

Markets

BTTS55.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).