Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.3%
Lens
20.0%
Draw
18.7%
Rennes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Lens
vs
1.07
Rennes
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-1
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
5.0%
0-1
4.8%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).