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14 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.1%
Willenhall Town
23.8%
Draw
46.1%
Taunton Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Willenhall Town

vs
1.61

Taunton Town

Markets

BTTS56.8%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.3%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).